Carlo Ancelotti was the deserved recipient of September’s Premier League Manager of the Month award following a superb start to the new season during which the Everton boss scooped three wins out of three.
It was the first time that Ancelotti, who has since carded another league win in October, had won the coveted award since April 2011 when he was in charge of Chelsea, meaning he’s now accumulated five of the accolades.
We’re currently a single gameweek into the month of October, but bookmakers William Hill have looked ahead to November and offered a new ‘Manager of the Month’ market for the 11th month of the year.
Now, if we could predict a future victor of the award, we’d probably have a lot of money in the bank by now.
Unfortunately, we don’t possess the power to see into the future - just yet - however, we can use the information available to us as a tool to put forward a few predictions, so go easy on us.
This includes trends over the last couple of months/years, current form and of course the fixtures themselves.
November is home to another international break, meaning the majority of Premier League clubs will play three matches apiece.
Newcastle, Everton, Man Utd, Arsenal, Leeds and Leicester are the exceptions with four matches each.
This means that their respective managers have the opportunity to rack up a maximum of 12 points in November, as opposed to nine.
September’s victor Carlo Ancelotti (10/1), who has won in November before (2009), along with Mikel Arteta (12/1), Marcelo Bielsa, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer and Brendan Rodgers (all 14/1) could therefore all represent decent value in the market, whereas Steve Bruce is an outsider at 33/1 to receive the award for the first time. In fact, Rafa Benitez is the only Newcastle manager (November 2018) to win it in the last six years.
Of that particular band of bosses it's Ancelotti who looks the best bet, especially given Everton’s stunning form so far. Newcastle and Fulham are both very winnable games in November, while they also face Man Utd and Leeds at Goodison.
A September Sensation: Carlo Ancelotti
It’s Jurgen Klopp who has been installed as the 5/1 favourite to strike managerial gold in November, and if the German’s going to clinch the award for the ninth time it will be fully deserved as Liverpool face tough fixtures against Man City and Leicester City, along with a potentially thorny trip to Brighton.
Pep Guardiola is next in the running at 13/2, although it may come as a surprise to hear that the seven-time winner hasn’t claimed the award for an unbelievable 18 months. Man City, who have endured a slow start, face champions Liverpool, in-form Tottenham and Burnley during November.
After an 11 month dominance from the traditional top-six managers between December 2018 and January 2020 - Jurgen Klopp bagged the award seven times in this period - the last four winners have been Burnley’s Sean Dyche (February), Wolves boss Nuno Santo (June), Southampton’s Ralph Hasenhuttl (July), and most recently Ancelotti (September).
With that said it could be worth diverting your attention away from the big guns.
For example, Dean Smith - no doubt an early contender to win October’s edition - looks a tasty bet at 25/1 to triumph in November.
Aston Villa have enjoyed a sensational start to the season during which they obliterated Liverpool 7-2 - we are still trying to process that scoreline - and they have Arsenal, Brighton and West Ham to come in November. Given their current form, they have every reason to believe they can snap up nine points from those games.
Best Bet: Carlo Ancelotti, 10/1
Tasty Outsider: Dean Smith, 25/1
Unbelievable Jeff: Steve Bruce, 33/1
November's Manager of the Month Odds